Five parties likely to get to the new Ukrainian Parliament, according to Belgian research

According to the survey conducted on June 17-18th, 2019 if parliamentary elections were taking place on coming Sunday, the following parties would have a chance to get to the new Ukrainian parliament: «Sluha Narodu» with its leader Dmytro Razumkov (43,9%), «Opposition Platform — Za Zhyttya» led by Yuriy Boyko, Vadym Rabinovich, Viktor Medvedchuk (12,9%), «Batkivshchyna» with its leader Yulia Tymoshenko (7,9%), «Holos» with its leader Svyatoslav Vakarchuk (6,3%), «Evropeyska Solidarnist» led by Petro Poroshenko (6,1%).

The data comes from the study published by the international research center BURI-Ukraine (The Belgium-Ukraine Research Institute, Belgium).

Other political parties, in particular the Radical Party of Oleh Lyashko – 3.8%, «Hromadyanska Pozytsiya» of Anatoliy Grytsenko and Dmytro Dobrodomov (3,2%), «Syla I Chest» of Ihor Smeshko – 2.9%, «Svoboda» of Oleh Tyahnybok, Andrey Biletskiy, Dmytro Yarosh (2.6%), «Opposition Bloc – The Party of Peace and Development» led by Evhen Muraev, Oleksandr Vilkul, Vadym Novinsky (1.7%) and others have fewer chances of getting into the parliament.

The results of the survey are shown in the tables below.

Who would you vote for if the elections of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine were held this Sunday? (among those who are going to vote and have made their choice, %):

The experts also point to the following trends of the new political season in Ukraine, which were confirmed by the results of the social research:

  • The steps of the newly elected President of Ukraine, Volodymyr Zelenskiy, who ran for the presidency from the party «Sluha Narodu», did not benefit the party itself, which is currently headed by Dmytro Razumkov.
  • Despite the rebranding, «Evropeyska Solidarnist» led by former president Petro Poroshenko did not boost its ratings. On the contrary, the ES, formerly the «Petro Poroshenko Bloc» is losing its popularity.
  • On the other hand, «The Opposition Platform – Za Zhyttya» dramatically increased the level of public support due to holding of the congress and regular visits of its leaders to the Russian Federation. At the same time the popularity of the «Opposition Bloc – The Party of Peace and Development» decreased, as a result of negations about merging with the «Opposition Platform – Za Zhyttya», which eventually did not happen.

The fact that a significant number of respondents chose «another party» option, even though virtually all major political projects were mentioned in the questionnaire, can be explained by the desire to see in the Ukrainian parliament some local politicians and leaders advancing interests of their region.

The survey was conducted on the territory of Ukraine by the international research center BURI-Ukraine (The Belgium-Ukraine Research Institute, Belgium) on June 17-18, 2019. The total number of respondents is 2018 people. Survey method: combined interviews. Error margin is 2.2%.