Parliamentary Elections in Ukraine: Five Political Parties to Enter the New Parliament
The survey conducted on July 1-3, 2019 showed that the new Ukrainian parliament would consist of the following political parties: “Sluga Narodu” Party led by Dmytro Razumkov and backed by the newly elected President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskiy (41.6%), “Opposition Platform – Za Zhittya” led by Yuriy Boyko, Vadim Rabinovich, and Viktor Medvedchuk (13.8%), the “Batkivschyna” Party of Yulia Tymoshenko (8.3%), “Golos” Party led by the singer Svyatoslav Vakarchuk (7.1%), and the “European Solidarnist” Party of the former President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko (5.9%).
The other parties so far do not have enough public support to enter the next parliament: “Gromadyanska Pozitsiya” of Anatoliy Grytsenko and Dmytro Dobrodomov – 4.1%, the Radical Party of Oleg Lyashko – 3.6%, “Syla I Chest” of Ihor Smeshko – 2.8%, “Svoboda” of Oleg Tyagnybok, Andriy Biletskiy and Dmytro Yarosh – 2.3%, the Agrarian Party of Mykhaylo Poplavskiy – 2.1%, “Opposition Bloc – The Party of Peace and Development” of Eugeniy Muraev, Oleksandr Vilkul and Vadim Novinskiy – 1.9%, the “Ukrainian Strategy” Party of Volodymyr Groisman – 1.6%, etc.
The results of the survey are shown in the tables below.
As regards major trends of the new political season in Ukraine, major heed should be given to the following aspects:
- The “Sluga Narodu” Party led by Dmytro Razumkov and backed by the newly elected President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskiy still enjoys the highest support of the voters though its popularity is notable for slight downward tendency. Experts claim that this downfall may stem from the fact that the latest statements and appointments of Volodymyr Zelenskiy partially disappoint his electorate.
- The “European Solidarity” Party led by the fifth President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko is also losing its followers despite the attempted rebranding and attraction of new faces. Supporters lost by the “European Solidarity” and “Batkivschyna” tend to switch to “Golos” Party led by Ukrainian singer Svyatoslav Vakarchuk.
- «Opposition Platform – Za Zhittya» showed stable positive dynamics due to high public activity of its leaders (the release of four Ukrainian prisoners, in particular) while the popularity of “Opposition Bloc – The Party of Peace and Development” kept on declining.
Similar to the previous survey, significant quantity of voters who chose to support “another party” though all notable political parties were already mentioned in the questionnaire is explained by their desire to see their local politicians and opinion leaders in the next parliament.
The international research center BURI (The Belgium-Ukraine Research Institute) conducted the survey in Ukraine on July 1-3, 2019. Total quantity of respondents equaled 2018 individuals (representative sample). The survey method – combined interviews. Error margin is 2.2%.